Peramalan Jumlah Investasi Usaha Mikro Dan Kecil (UMK) dengan Menggunakan Metode Double Exponential Smoothing (Studi Kasus di Kabupaten Sidoarjo)

Abstract

Industry is the activity of processing raw materials into finished goods which have the added value of their purpose, which is to get more profits. Micro and Small Enterprises (MSEs) are very efficient in the economic development of the people of Sidoarjo, based on data obtained from the Disperindag of Sidoarjo Regency, the amount of investment in the micro and small industries has increased the most compared to medium and large industries from year to year. To find out the amount of investment in 2018, a double exponential smoothing method is calculated so that the forecasting result id Rp. 76.124.607.773 with an error value of 6.639%.